Salam
ukhwah…moga sejahtera…
Apa
kesannya sekira nilai sudah terlalu bullish kepada nilai EMAS?
New
York, NY, August 10, 2012 --(PR.com)-- Parsons is predicting that the gold
price will move in a range between $1550 and $2025 with a year-end price of
$1900. This is very much in the conservative mid range of most other
forecasters and analysts.
Parsons
believes the US dollar will be a bullish factor for gold as it is fundamentally
overvalued (specifically against the Yuan and associated currencies of the Far East), and should decline which will be quite bullish
for gold.
The
other key bullish factors, as he sees it, have not changed. Record government
debt levels, slow growth/recession, and a drift in much of the OECD towards
deflation continue to force economic stimulus on the shoulders of central
banks. The ECB and other central banks will maintain extremely loose monetary
policies throughout 2012 and the Fed will be forced to introduce QE3. The
monetary reflation factor alone could be enough to see gold rise well above
$2000.
Other
factors should continue to favor gold in 2012, including central bank gold
demand, which should add to demand for years to come, and geopolitical turmoil
in the Middle East and elsewhere. The latter
will cause surges in the gold price, surges likely also to be reflected in the
oil price.
In
short, Parsons believes, the rest of 2012 will be somewhat like quarters 3 and
4 in 2008 and be a contest between recession and monetary reflation. He is
forecasting reflation will win the day for gold.
Indeed,
Parsons’ outlook and the general consensus among bank analysts are very similar
and actually remarkably positive for the yellow metal looking ahead contrasting
with mostly exceedingly cautious predictions in the past.
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